Aged residential care occupancy for 30 June 2019 quarter
The national occupancy rate, as measured by data in the TAS Quarterly Bed Survey, at 30 June 2019 is 87.2% (Figure 1, blue line). This represents a slight decline from the 87.7% of 31 March 2019.
The decline in occupancy was a result of an increase in bed supply rather than a reduction in residents. Total ARC residents at 30 June 2019 were at 34,275, essentially static compared to the previous quarter (down by only 18 residents or 0.05%. However, the bed supply increased by 201 (or 0.5%) over the quarter, to 39,299.
Over the year to June 2019, the net growth in residents (314 or 0.9%) is less than the net growth in beds (559 or 1.1%); consequently, the occupancy rate slipped by 0.5% over the year (from 87.7% to 87.2%).
Figure 1 also shows the occupancy rate with ORA ARRC-certified bed and residents excluded (green line). This is 89.5% in June 2019, slightly down from the 89.8% in March 2019.
The number of distinct care facilities recorded in the 30 June 2019 survey is 668, 1 up from the 31 March 2019 survey number of 667.
The growth in bed and resident numbers since the survey began in 2013 is shown in Figure 2, and the occupancy rate is also shown. While there has been a clear trend upwards in both beds and residents, short term shifts in one or the other leads to fluctuations in the occupancy rate. The June 2019 occupancy rate, 87.2%, is slightly less than the 87.5% average quarterly occupancy figure since September 2013.
The DHB with the highest occupancy in the June 2019 quarter is West Coast, at 92.9% (Table 1). Northland (92.8%), Hawke’s Bay (91.4%), Southern (90.2%), Capital and Coast (88.9%) and Hutt Valley (88.8%) also have relatively high occupancy. At the other extreme, Lakes is yet again the DHB region with lowest occupancy, at 77.1%, and occupancy in Nelson Marlborough is again second lowest at 79.2%.
Figure 3 ranks the DHBs in descending order of their shift in occupancy between March 2019 and June 2019. The largest increase occurred in West Coast (up 2.7% to 92.9%). This is followed by a 1.6% increase in Tairawhiti (to 83.5%). In contrast, occupancy in Hawke’s Bay slipped by 2.5% (to 91.4%) and in Nelson Marlborough by 2.4% (to 79.2%).
Table 2 shows the national occupancy difference by (non-ORA) bed type March 2019 and June 2019. Occupancy of dedicated rest home beds was near static at 90.0%. Occupancy of dedicated hospital beds slipped, by 1% to 89.6%, and occupancy of (non-ORA) dual service beds was also static, at 89.5%.
Table 3 shows occupancy across all DHB regions by (non-ORA) bed-service type at 30 June 2019.
For further information please contact John McDougall, NZACA Data and Insight Specialist on 04 473 3159.